Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.024772 0.026653 0.028615 0.030819 0.033226 0.035781 0.038699
2025-01-05 0.021557 0.024213 0.027129 0.030579 0.034563 0.039034 0.044454
2025-01-12 0.019123 0.022168 0.025640 0.029913 0.035058 0.041090 0.048747
2025-01-19 0.017804 0.021184 0.025159 0.030216 0.036525 0.044203 0.054351
2025-01-26 0.016597 0.020182 0.024509 0.030170 0.037451 0.046603 0.059135
2025-02-02 0.015785 0.019572 0.024252 0.030531 0.038836 0.049591 0.064812
2025-02-09 0.014817 0.018680 0.023553 0.030236 0.039293 0.051333 0.068881
2025-02-16 0.014038 0.017971 0.023025 0.030098 0.039905 0.053269 0.073296
2025-02-23 0.013309 0.017276 0.022461 0.029854 0.040321 0.054917 0.077367
2025-03-02 0.012737 0.016753 0.022088 0.029831 0.041018 0.056967 0.082132
2025-03-09 0.012085 0.016083 0.021470 0.029415 0.041103 0.058108 0.085570
2025-03-16 0.011444 0.015392 0.020784 0.028854 0.040926 0.058823 0.088361
2025-03-23 0.010936 0.014871 0.020316 0.028589 0.041181 0.060215 0.092352
2025-03-30 0.010459 0.014370 0.019851 0.028300 0.041375 0.061512 0.096272
2025-04-06 0.009921 0.013755 0.019190 0.027677 0.041007 0.061887 0.098657
2025-04-13 0.009676 0.013555 0.019125 0.027949 0.042048 0.064563 0.105141
2025-04-20 0.009362 0.013238 0.018868 0.027907 0.042573 0.066415 0.110314
2025-04-27 0.009167 0.013088 0.018853 0.028236 0.043711 0.069345 0.117627
2025-05-04 0.008832 0.012712 0.018475 0.027967 0.043838 0.070555 0.121867
2025-05-11 0.008552 0.012410 0.018197 0.027841 0.044193 0.072167 0.126971
2025-05-18 0.008266 0.012085 0.017871 0.027619 0.044365 0.073457 0.131542
2025-05-25 0.008043 0.011850 0.017674 0.027598 0.044878 0.075381 0.137494
2025-06-01 0.007751 0.011497 0.017275 0.027218 0.044738 0.076097 0.141074